BEFORE THE ELECTION:
Australia is within the first stage of long-term financial decline.
Submit Covid, there was a pointy decline within the variety of productive individuals and productive workplaces, and a pointy, seemingly everlasting improve within the welfare and black economic system.
I might estimate that the proportion of genuinely productive Australians of their workplaces has fallen from 40% to lower than one-quarter within the house of simply 5 years.
The leaners now simply outnumber the lifters.
As soon as measured in opinion polling and focus teams, this has produced a political tradition of hand-outs – giveaways, all debt-funded, as now we have seen on this Federal election marketing campaign.
Even the Liberal Get together has joined in, forfeiting its repute for fiscal accountability, finishing its transformation right into a woke sinkhole, extra intently resembling the American Democrats than the Howard/Costello period.
This sadly depressing new economic system and the brand new politics that goes with it has given Labor a pure electoral benefit.
In order for you massive spending, debt funding and a hand-out dependency, underpinned by low productiveness, mushy working situations, rorted authorities packages and the Ponzi scheme of Large Australian migration, you would possibly as effectively vote for the individuals who actually consider in it, and have been masters in creating it. That’s the ALP and Albanese.
Australia is in the course of an ideal financial storm:
• the brand new political tradition of a hand-out and welfare economic system;
• the post-Covid stupor and industrial-scale abuse of Work From Residence;
• the financial self-harm of an power transition driving up energy costs and harming our competitiveness whereas leaving international floor temperatures unchanged;
• our nationwide ethos of power and resilience changed by the woke Alphabet world of victimology;
• mass immigration destroying housing affordability, because the over-regulated provide aspect can’t sustain;
• inexorable development in that the majority horrendous new terminology: the care economic system (little one care, incapacity care and aged care), such that 80% of recent jobs are debt-funded from the general public sector;
• the brand new nationwide pastime of rorting poorly-designed authorities packages: resulting in an enormous and rising black economic system in tobacco, the NDIS, coaching packages and renewable power scams; and
• a political class completely disinterested in labour productiveness and financial competitiveness.
No nation on earth has a lot accessible house, but now we have the world’s highest housing costs.
No nation on earth has so many accessible assets, but as soon as left within the floor, now we have the world’s highest energy costs.
The golden age of Hawke/Keating/Howard/Costello economics has ended.
Like many Australians of my age, I inform my youngsters how lucky I really feel to have seen our nation at its greatest within the Nineteen Nineties, but how maudlin and pessimistic I really feel for his or her technology.
Australian public coverage was run by the artistic minds of our nationwide curiosity.
Now it’s within the fingers of a self-serving, blinded elite who can’t see previous the following focus-group-generated giveaway.
Because the Anzacs may need mentioned, ready for the third cost at The Nek, “we’re stuffed, mate”. And nothing on this election marketing campaign helps.
In truth, it confirms our worst fears in taking Australia backwards. Mediocrity in Canberra means the perfect of our nation is now behind us.
Albanese has spent an additional $190 billion in simply 3 years, but residing requirements have gone backwards by 10 p.c. Any random bloke on the native pub might have achieved higher with all that cash.
However is appears doubtless tomorrow that Australians will return Labor to workplace. I concern our nationwide decline is irreversible.
ELECTION UPDATE:
The evaluation above: That’s the way in which the election end result performed out.
Labor’s pure electoral benefit gave it a landslide .
There shall be quite a lot of commentary about Dutton’s errors, dumb Liberal ways, Albanese cleverness and so forth.
However the greatest factor is in how the nation has modified.
An enormous turning level was Scott Morrison’s Jobkeeper program throughout Covid: it taught Australians the federal government would pay them for staying at house.
Ever since, the starvation for debt-funded authorities advantages and concessions has been insatiable. So too, the demand to remain house (Work From Residence).
This coincides with the way in which Australia has change into a fragile service economic system, with the lack of manufacturing and mining jobs.
Productiveness has collapsed, returning to 2016 ranges.
So now we have extra Australians demanding extra authorities cash however fewer Australians working productively to pay for it.
The inevitable result’s the trillion greenback debt in Canberra.
Australia has modified quickly, in a method that’s proper in Labor’s hitting zone.
Take a look at the CVs of the Labor MPs elected yesterday: a celebration now dominated by social staff, lecturers, apparatchiks and public servants.
They consider in limitless debt-funded authorities handouts: precisely what the brand new Australian voters is demanding.
Mixed with large migration numbers bringing in additional Labor voters (who take a look at our publicly funded handouts and advantages and assume it’s a picnic) the ALP has cobbled collectively a profitable electoral coalition.
When you add to those ‘leaners’ the woke, the Alphabet mob and local weather change fanatics, Labor begins effectively in entrance in electoral demographics.
Within the new Australia it has a pure profitable benefit.
The ALP might be renamed the WWM social gathering: Woke Welfare Migrant.
Yesterday Albanese didn’t sharply carry the Labor major vote. It rose 2% to 34.6% (goodness, I bought 37.5% in shedding to John Howard in 2004).
His success got here from driving down the Liberal-Nationwide major vote to 32%.
The uniquely Australian voting system additionally helps Labor, with Albo profitable 60% of the seats from one-third of the votes.
Labor’s unfavorable marketing campaign received it for them. As voters have change into extra disengaged from social gathering politics and election campaigns, TV adverts have change into extra necessary in swaying voters.
The ALP scare commercials, saying that Dutton’s $600 billion nuclear plan would minimize everybody’s advantages, have been extremely efficient. Simply as unimaginable, the Liberals made no try and rebut the Labor concern marketing campaign.
Voters are not rusted on to the foremost events. Allegiances are actually mushy.
That means that if the Leaners assume they’re about to lose one thing, they flood away from the social gathering (supposedly) doing it.
That’s what occurred to Dutton along with his wonderful collapse through the election marketing campaign, in opposition to an unpopular authorities throughout a cost-of-living disaster.
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